Quakefinder Blog

QuakeFinder 1st Quarter 2017 Newsletter – History of Tornado Forecasting, Part 2

History of Tornado Forecasting, Part 2.

This newsletter is a continuation of our series of studies into the history of weather and natural disaster forecasting. The intent of these studies is to understand the pioneering efforts of those who brought us these capabilities, the often-messy process of discovery, the societal reaction and impacts of forecasting, the resistance of establishment naysayers, and all the setbacks and triumphs along the way. QuakeFinder seeks to enable an earthquake forecasting system and gathering these lessons-learned from history will help guide us on our quest. The following article is a look into tornado forecasting from World War II to the present day.

In Part 1 of this study, we discussed the history of tornado forecasting from its infancy in the late 1860s through the end of the 19th century. The understanding of weather and weather patterns in the U.S. was advancing, as was a volunteer network of observation stations to collect atmospheric data. The growing telegraph network was used to transmit the data to centralized locations for analysis and dissemination of weather “probabilities”. The federal government then established a branch under the Army Signals Corp to augment the observation network and begin providing weather reports and forecasts. Tornado forecasting soon followed in the mid-west with decent success, but was quickly terminated due to turf battles between the military and civilian weather agencies. By the close of the 1800s, the official charter for weather forecasting was in civilian control (Dept. of Agriculture) and a ban on tornado forecasting was instituted for the next half century. Tornado research ceased as well.

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New Study shows linked fault lines in S. California; M 7.4 quake possible

A fault system that runs from San Diego to Los Angeles is capable of producing up to magnitude 7.3 earthquakes if the offshore segments rupture and a 7.4 if the southern onshore segment also ruptures, according to an analysis led by Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego.

The Newport-Inglewood and Rose Canyon faults had been considered separate systems but the study shows that they are actually one continuous fault system running from San Diego Bay to Seal Beach in Orange County, then on land through the Los Angeles basin.

Continue reading about this study here.

QuakeFinder has 5 sensors within 12 miles of the now-combined fault lines. Past research indicates electromagnetic signals of a large imminent earthquake can be detected at this distance. QuakeFinder is making significant strides in the data analysis of our captured earthquakes in the quest to develop a forecasting algorithm. When developed, QuakeFinder will be operationally monitoring the Newport-Inglewood/Rose Canyon fault.

QuakeFinder Featured in AI Trends Magazine

QuakeFinder is featured in Artificial Intelligence Trends Magazine

With our data neatly arranged in well-understood data sets, we are seeking a partner with expertise in time-series, low signal/noise data, Artificial Intelligence and/or Machine Learning. This article tells the QF story and solicits help from the AI community.

The Quest For Earthquake Prediction – An AI Problem?

QuakeFinder Featured In Stanford University Video

What if we could predict Earthquakes?